出老千

[shepherd17]

某人在 Polymarket 上面赌巴黎4月15号的气温。

法国当局正在调查巴黎戴高乐机场的一台气象监测设备是否遭到人为篡改，因为在一名 Polymarket 交易者兑现赌注的同一时间附近，该设备记录到异常的气温飙升。

一名使用“xX25Xx”用户名的匿名交易者，引起了 Polymarket 上分析师和其他交易者的关注。在这个平台上，人们可以就城市最高气温等现实事件下注。

这名交易者押注 119 美元，赌 4 月 15 日巴黎气温会超过华氏 64 度（约摄氏 17.8 度）。天气爱好者们注意到当天气温突然飙升。由于这次突如其来的升温，该交易者最终获利 21,398 美元。

在当地气象学家排除气温异常由自然原因造成的可能性后，这名 Polymarket 交易者删除了自己的账户。

据法国广播公司 BFM TV 报道，法国气象局（Météo‑France）表示，他们已就设备可能遭到人为干扰向机场警方提交了投诉。

虽然巴黎当局仍在调查事件经过，但在网络论坛上的天气观察者和 Polymarket 交易者提出了两种可能导致气温升高的方式：打火机，或电池供电的吹风机。

一位在 Discord 上名为 Vince 的用户（他经常在 Polymarket 上进行天气相关交易）写道：“太喜欢了！”
“我一定得弄一个那种‘无线吹风机’，还能用电线连到气象站的那种！”

另一位在 Discord 上名为 Sakuku 的用户打趣说：“经典的‘把吹风机开到最高档，对着机场附近公开可访问的气象监测站吹’骗局。”

“这可是老套路了。”

法国分析公司 Bubblemaps 的一项分析发现，附近其他任何气象站都没有记录到这次气温飙升，而这名 Polymarket 交易者的获胜赌注金额是其平时下注规模的 20 倍。

The anomalous weather spike compared to another weather sensor in Paris

以往也曾出现过几起引人注目的疑似内幕交易事件，例如一名交易者曾通过押注委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗被罢黜，以及伊朗停火协议宣布的确切时间，赚取了超过 50 万美元。再往前追溯，预测市场分析人士还发现，有一名交易者似乎提前掌握了拜登总统在其任期最后数小时将颁布哪些赦免，从而大赚了一笔。

https://www.npr.org/2026/04/23/nx-s1-57 ... eather-bet

[crane]

刚刚看到相关新闻：参与策划和执行的特种部队士兵 押注 美军会什么时候动手。

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/us-soldi ... arket-bets

Gannon Ken Van Dyke allegedly made more than $400,000 trading on polymarket on the basis of classified information regarding the timing of a U.S. military operation to capture Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela

The Justice Department announced today the unsealing of an indictment charging Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier, with unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain, theft of nonpublic government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. The charges arise from an alleged scheme in which Van Dyke used sensitive classified information to make wagers on Polymarket, a prediction marketplace. As alleged in the indictment, Van Dyke participated in the planning and execution of the U.S. military operation to capture Nicolás Maduro, called “Operation Absolute Resolve,” and Van Dyke used his access to classified information about that operation to personally profit. Van Dyke will be presented today before U.S. Magistrate Judge Brian S. Meyers in the Eastern District of North Carolina. The case has been assigned to U.S. District Judge Margaret M. Garnett in the Southern District of New York.

[门前镜湖水]

Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier,

还以为自己姓赵呢

[crane]

Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier,

还以为自己姓赵呢

哈哈，no one is above the law （川总除外）

[shepherd17]

刚刚看到一件类似的新闻：参与策划和执行的特种部队士兵 押注 美军会什么时候动手。

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/us-soldi ... arket-bets

Gannon Ken Van Dyke allegedly made more than $400,000 trading on polymarket on the basis of classified information regarding the timing of a U.S. military operation to capture Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela

The Justice Department announced today the unsealing of an indictment charging Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier, with unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain, theft of nonpublic government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. The charges arise from an alleged scheme in which Van Dyke used sensitive classified information to make wagers on Polymarket, a prediction marketplace. As alleged in the indictment, Van Dyke participated in the planning and execution of the U.S. military operation to capture Nicolás Maduro, called “Operation Absolute Resolve,” and Van Dyke used his access to classified information about that operation to personally profit. Van Dyke will be presented today before U.S. Magistrate Judge Brian S. Meyers in the Eastern District of North Carolina. The case has been assigned to U.S. District Judge Margaret M. Garnett in the Southern District of New York.

我今天在《纽约时报 》上也看到了。

那些提前知道川总决定的人事先布局赚数亿没事儿，这个特种兵赚了几十万被抓。可怜。

[shepherd17]

Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a U.S. Army soldier,

还以为自己姓赵呢

哈哈哈。你个小巴辣子大头兵也配姓赵？！

[门前镜湖水]

还以为自己姓赵呢

哈哈，no one is above the law （川总除外）

川总也没有above the law. 川总走旁边，没有law 的地方。