美国MITBBS

Trump-era tariffs largely paid by US consumers, not foreign exporters, says study

President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods are borne largely by American importers, their domestic customers and, ultimately, US consumers, according to a study by a German think tank.

In a report released Monday, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy said that “foreign exporters did not meaningfully reduce their prices in response to US tariff increases,” adding that “the $200 billion surge in customs revenue represents $200 billion extracted from American businesses and households".

The study concluded that foreign firms shoulder only around 4% of the overall tariff burden, while about 96% is passed on almost entirely to US buyers who pay the duties and must either absorb the costs or raise prices. Manufacturers and retailers then face the choice of passing higher costs on to consumers or accepting reduced profit margins.

As a result, the researchers argued that “the tariff functions not as a tax on foreign producers, but as a consumption tax on Americans,” the report’s authors, Julian Hinz, Aaron Lohmann, Hendrik Mahlkow and Anna Vorwig, wrote.

这个不可能

根据谁的study是关键

川普的study显示，99%生产商paid，要不说90%显得谦虚一点

wass 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 13:33

根据谁的study是关键

川普的study显示，99%生产商paid，要不说90%显得谦虚一点

这个无所谓，生产商pay，他们就会裁员降薪减福利，减成本，最后还是经济不好

牛大春 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 13:24

Trump-era tariffs largely paid by US consumers, not foreign exporters, says study

President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods are borne largely by American importers, their domestic customers and, ultimately, US consumers, according to a study by a German think tank.

In a report released Monday, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy said that “foreign exporters did not meaningfully reduce their prices in response to US tariff increases,” adding that “the $200 billion surge in customs revenue represents $200 billion extracted from American businesses and households".

The study concluded that foreign firms shoulder only around 4% of the overall tariff burden, while about 96% is passed on almost entirely to US buyers who pay the duties and must either absorb the costs or raise prices. Manufacturers and retailers then face the choice of passing higher costs on to consumers or accepting reduced profit margins.

As a result, the researchers argued that “the tariff functions not as a tax on foreign producers, but as a consumption tax on Americans,” the report’s authors, Julian Hinz, Aaron Lohmann, Hendrik Mahlkow and Anna Vorwig, wrote.

纯属胡扯，也就你信

Koolblabla 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:25

牛大春 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 13:24

Trump-era tariffs largely paid by US consumers, not foreign exporters, says study

President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods are borne largely by American importers, their domestic customers and, ultimately, US consumers, according to a study by a German think tank.

In a report released Monday, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy said that “foreign exporters did not meaningfully reduce their prices in response to US tariff increases,” adding that “the $200 billion surge in customs revenue represents $200 billion extracted from American businesses and households".

The study concluded that foreign firms shoulder only around 4% of the overall tariff burden, while about 96% is passed on almost entirely to US buyers who pay the duties and must either absorb the costs or raise prices. Manufacturers and retailers then face the choice of passing higher costs on to consumers or accepting reduced profit margins.

As a result, the researchers argued that “the tariff functions not as a tax on foreign producers, but as a consumption tax on Americans,” the report’s authors, Julian Hinz, Aaron Lohmann, Hendrik Mahlkow and Anna Vorwig, wrote.

纯属胡扯，也就你信

被真相伤害到了？

Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) is a highly credible, independent German economic research institute and think tank, considered one of the leading institutions in its field, known for high-quality, data-driven research and policy advice, bridging science and policy, and respected internationally for its factual analysis on global economic issues like trade.
Key Indicators of Credibility:
Rankings & Recognition: Ranked globally among top economic think tanks and described as Germany's most influential.
Independence & Affiliation: A non-profit, independent foundation under public law, affiliated with the Leibniz Association, ensuring academic freedom.
Research Quality: Focuses on rigorous, empirically supported research on urgent global economic problems, with a strong reputation in the international scientific community.
Policy Impact: Actively advises policymakers in government and business, providing data-based insights for decision-making and contributing to public debate.
Expert Endorsements: Cited by various sources for its reliable, fact-based analysis, with experts calling it "indispensable for political and economic discourse in Germany".
In essence, the Kiel Institute is a respected, authoritative voice in global economics, known for its high standards and significant influence on economic policy.

牛大春 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:35

Koolblabla 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:25

纯属胡扯，也就你信

被真相伤害到了？

你咋知道是真相？

牛大春 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:38

Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) is a highly credible, independent German economic research institute and think tank, considered one of the leading institutions in its field, known for high-quality, data-driven research and policy advice, bridging science and policy, and respected internationally for its factual analysis on global economic issues like trade.
Key Indicators of Credibility:
Rankings & Recognition: Ranked globally among top economic think tanks and described as Germany's most influential.
Independence & Affiliation: A non-profit, independent foundation under public law, affiliated with the Leibniz Association, ensuring academic freedom.
Research Quality: Focuses on rigorous, empirically supported research on urgent global economic problems, with a strong reputation in the international scientific community.
Policy Impact: Actively advises policymakers in government and business, providing data-based insights for decision-making and contributing to public debate.
Expert Endorsements: Cited by various sources for its reliable, fact-based analysis, with experts calling it "indispensable for political and economic discourse in Germany".
In essence, the Kiel Institute is a respected, authoritative voice in global economics, known for its high standards and significant influence on economic policy.

那又咋样呢？是不是对你特有光环？不就是个研究所吗？

Koolblabla 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:45

牛大春 写了： ↑20 1月 2026, 16:38

Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) is a highly credible, independent German economic research institute and think tank, considered one of the leading institutions in its field, known for high-quality, data-driven research and policy advice, bridging science and policy, and respected internationally for its factual analysis on global economic issues like trade.
Key Indicators of Credibility:
Rankings & Recognition: Ranked globally among top economic think tanks and described as Germany's most influential.
Independence & Affiliation: A non-profit, independent foundation under public law, affiliated with the Leibniz Association, ensuring academic freedom.
Research Quality: Focuses on rigorous, empirically supported research on urgent global economic problems, with a strong reputation in the international scientific community.
Policy Impact: Actively advises policymakers in government and business, providing data-based insights for decision-making and contributing to public debate.
Expert Endorsements: Cited by various sources for its reliable, fact-based analysis, with experts calling it "indispensable for political and economic discourse in Germany".
In essence, the Kiel Institute is a respected, authoritative voice in global economics, known for its high standards and significant influence on economic policy.

那又咋样呢？是不是对你特有光环？不就是个研究所吗？

我觉得IfW Kiel比你靠谱。