美国MITBBS

Federal reserve 的数据是不是假数据啊？

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Latest estimate: 5.3 percent — January 14, 2026

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent on January 14, up from 5.1 percent on January 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth, fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth, and fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.0 percent, 4.8 percent, and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent, 5.1 percent, and 1.6 percent.

很可能是，否则就业怎么可能这么差。

不信了

每次数据不好看就威胁要开除人的老板、数据还能相信 ？

CCP的老板都不敢像川普这么不要脸威胁下属

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:11

Federal reserve 的数据是不是假数据啊？

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Latest estimate: 5.3 percent — January 14, 2026

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent on January 14, up from 5.1 percent on January 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth, fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth, and fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.0 percent, 4.8 percent, and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent, 5.1 percent, and 1.6 percent.

完全被蜻蜓猜中了

Lilyamao 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:43

不信了

每次数据不好看就威胁要开除人的老板、数据还能相信 ？

CCP的老板都不敢像川普这么不要脸威胁下属

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:11

Federal reserve 的数据是不是假数据啊？

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Latest estimate: 5.3 percent — January 14, 2026

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent on January 14, up from 5.1 percent on January 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth, fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth, and fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.0 percent, 4.8 percent, and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent, 5.1 percent, and 1.6 percent.

这可是美联储独立机构，不听川普的。

No — the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is not “under” the Trump administration in the way a federal agency like the Department of Education or the EPA is. It is part of the Federal Reserve System, an independent central banking system, not an executive-branch agency controlled by the president.

Lilyamao 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:43

不信了

每次数据不好看就威胁要开除人的老板、数据还能相信 ？

CCP的老板都不敢像川普这么不要脸威胁下属

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:11

Federal reserve 的数据是不是假数据啊？

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

Latest estimate: 5.3 percent — January 14, 2026

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent on January 14, up from 5.1 percent on January 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth, fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth, and fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.0 percent, 4.8 percent, and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent, 5.1 percent, and 1.6 percent.

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:31

这可是美联储独立机构，不听川普的。

No — the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is not “under” the Trump administration in the way a federal agency like the Department of Education or the EPA is. It is part of the Federal Reserve System, an independent central banking system, not an executive-branch agency controlled by the president.

Lilyamao 写了： 16 1月 2026, 19:43

不信了

每次数据不好看就威胁要开除人的老板、数据还能相信 ？

CCP的老板都不敢像川普这么不要脸威胁下属

美国如果gdp涨4%，就业起码一个月加十几万二十万吧。难道马斯克的机器人成了，把人都取代了？

既不相信统计局，又不相信美联储，那么相信谁呢？
我不像你，这种专业的东西，我承认我不懂，只能听听专家意见，将信将疑。

resso 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:36

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:31

这可是美联储独立机构，不听川普的。

No — the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is not “under” the Trump administration in the way a federal agency like the Department of Education or the EPA is. It is part of the Federal Reserve System, an independent central banking system, not an executive-branch agency controlled by the president.

美国如果gdp涨4%，就业起码一个月加十几万二十万吧。难道马斯克的机器人成了，把人都取代了？

resso 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:36

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:31

这可是美联储独立机构，不听川普的。

No — the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is not “under” the Trump administration in the way a federal agency like the Department of Education or the EPA is. It is part of the Federal Reserve System, an independent central banking system, not an executive-branch agency controlled by the president.

美国如果gdp涨4%，就业起码一个月加十几万二十万吧。难道马斯克的机器人成了，把人都取代了？

现在AI横行， 不久部分白领就要被淘汰了。 当然没有就业增长了。

dragonfly 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:39

既不相信统计局，又不相信美联储，那么相信谁呢？
我不像你，这种专业的东西，我承认我不懂，只能听听专家意见，将信将疑。

resso 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:36

美国如果gdp涨4%，就业起码一个月加十几万二十万吧。难道马斯克的机器人成了，把人都取代了？

还是那句话，你没法解释低就业和高gdp同时存在，抛开你懂不懂不谈，gdp总是人创造的吧，人都没工作，gdp从哪里来？

小河清流 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:43

resso 写了： 16 1月 2026, 21:36

美国如果gdp涨4%，就业起码一个月加十几万二十万吧。难道马斯克的机器人成了，把人都取代了？

现在AI横行， 不久部分白领就要被淘汰了。 当然没有就业增长了。

那么蓝领的工作在涨吗？也没有啊