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S&P 500 大跌历史记录 (DeepSeek)

发表于 : 13 3月 2025, 18:41
shepherd17

The largest peak-to-trough percentage decline in the S&P 500 occurred during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, when the index fell around 56.4% from its peak of 1,576.09 (October 9, 2007) to a trough of 676.53 (March 9, 2009). This remains the deepest and longest bear market in the S&P 500’s modern history (since 1957).


Key Declines in S&P 500 History:

  1. 2007–2009 Global Financial Crisis (-56.4%):

    • Cause: Collapse of the housing market, subprime mortgage crisis, and systemic banking failures.
    • Recovery: Took about 4 years (until 2013) to regain pre-crisis levels.
  2. COVID-19 Crash (2020) (-33.9%):

    • The index dropped 33.9% in just 33 days (February 19–March 23, 2020), the fastest bear market ever.
    • Recovery: Rebounded sharply due to fiscal stimulus and monetary easing, regaining highs by August 2020.
  3. Dot-Com Bubble (2000–2002) (-49.1%):

    • Tech stock valuations collapsed, leading to a prolonged decline.
    • Recovery took about 7 years (until 2007) for the S&P 500 to surpass its 2000 peak.
  4. 1973–1974 Oil Crisis/Stagflation (-48.2%):

    • Triggered by an oil embargo, inflation, and economic stagnation.
    • Recovery took about 7 years (until 1980).
  5. Black Monday (1987) (-20.47% in one day):

    • Largest single-day percentage drop (October 19, 1987), but the overall 1987 bear market decline was smaller (-33.5% peak-to-trough).

Largest Single-Day Point Drop:

  • March 16, 2020: The S&P 500 fell 324.89 points (-11.98%) during the COVID-19 sell-off.
  • February 5, 2018: The index dropped 113.19 points (-4.10%) amid volatility-linked trading.
    (Note: Point drops are less meaningful over time due to the index’s rising nominal value.)

Key Distinctions:

  • Largest Percentage Decline: 2007–2009 (-56.4%).
  • Fastest Bear Market: 2020 COVID-19 Crash (33 days).
  • Longest Recovery: Dot-Com Bubble (7 years).

For context, if including pre-S&P 500 data (e.g., the Great Depression), the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell around 89% from 1929 to 1932, but the S&P 500 did not exist until 1957.


Re: S&P 500 大跌历史记录 (DeepSeek)

发表于 : 13 3月 2025, 18:51
shepherd17

我们今年将会经历历史上哪种跌法?


Re: S&P 500 大跌历史记录 (DeepSeek)

发表于 : 13 3月 2025, 22:04
spring
shepherd17 写了: 13 3月 2025, 18:51

我们今年将会经历历史上哪种跌法?

主动下跌。
大盘:信不信我跌给你看?
川总:我就看看。


Re: S&P 500 大跌历史记录 (DeepSeek)

发表于 : 13 3月 2025, 22:08
Leuning

现在还算波动。首先跌幅不大,其次好像至少最近到底。