枫林晓 写了: ↑01 3月 2025, 10:47
粗鲁是小节。
川普说了拉俄罗斯抗中。
这正好是二战时西方拉俄罗斯抗德。是对局势的极度清晰的判断。这是大节。大节上美国出路只有两个。
1。承认中国的后来居上的世纪。并共同发展,逐步适应新的秩序。
2。抗中。维持欧美的世界头羊的地位。那就只有川普路线。制造业回归。结束极端全球化。并孤立中国。
选吧。
你的说法有点儿瘆人。我问了问万能的 AI。ChatGPT 的分析判断:
There is no concrete evidence to suggest that former President Donald Trump is actively colluding with Russian President Vladimir Putin to restrain China. However, recent geopolitical developments indicate that Trump's actions and policies may inadvertently align with Russia's interests, potentially impacting China's strategic position.
During a recent Oval Office meeting, Trump engaged in a heated exchange with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, urging Ukraine to accept a peace deal with Russia without securing firm guarantees. Trump threatened to withdraw U.S. support if Zelensky did not comply, raising concerns about his alignment with Moscow's objectives. This incident has led to accusations of Trump acting in a manner that benefits Russia, thereby affecting the broader geopolitical balance involving China.
Furthermore, Trump's foreign policy approach has been characterized by a desire to integrate Canada into the U.S. and to drive a wedge between Russia and China. These ambitions reflect a strategy that could reshape global alliances and power dynamics, indirectly influencing China's strategic environment.
While these actions may not constitute direct collusion between Trump and Putin to restrain China, they suggest a complex interplay of policies and relationships that could have significant implications for China's global standing.
DeepSeek 的回答:
The question of whether Donald Trump colluded with Vladimir Putin to restrain China involves several layers of analysis, including geopolitical dynamics, policy actions, and verified evidence. Here's a structured response:
U.S.-China Relations Under Trump:
The Trump administration adopted a confrontational stance toward China, particularly on trade, intellectual property, and geopolitical issues. Policies like tariffs (e.g., the 2018–2020 trade war) and rhetoric about "decoupling" reflected a strategy to counter China's economic and strategic influence. However, this approach was framed as a unilateral U.S. effort rather than part of a coordinated plan with Russia.
Trump-Putin Interactions:
Trump's relationship with Putin was scrutinized due to allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election. The Mueller investigation (2017–2019) found no conclusive evidence of a criminal conspiracy between Trump's campaign and Russia, though it documented numerous contacts and noted potential obstruction of justice. Publicly, Trump often praised Putin, which fueled speculation about alignment, but no verified evidence ties this rapport to a joint strategy against China.
Russia-China Relations:
Russia and China have deepened ties in recent years, particularly in energy, military cooperation, and opposing Western hegemony. While historically complex, their partnership is largely pragmatic, not ideological. Russia is unlikely to undermine China—a key economic and strategic partner—to assist U.S. interests. A U.S.-Russia collusion to restrain China would contradict their mutual interests in counterbalancing U.S. power.
Geopolitical Realities:
- The U.S. and Russia have divergent interests in Asia. For example, Russia has sought to strengthen ties with China through initiatives like the Belt and Road, while the U.S. has focused on alliances (e.g., Quad) to counterbalance China.
- Trump's transactional foreign policy prioritized bilateral deals over multilateral coordination, reducing the likelihood of a covert alliance with Russia against China.
Lack of Evidence:
No credible reports, leaks, or investigations have substantiated claims of a Trump-Putin pact targeting China. While Trump occasionally floated ideas like expanding the G7 to include Russia, these were framed as diplomatic overtures rather than anti-China moves.
Conclusion:
There is no verified evidence that Trump colluded with Putin to restrain China. While Trump’s adversarial China policies and his controversial rapport with Putin fueled speculation, their actions align more with independent national strategies than coordinated collusion. Geopolitically, Russia’s alignment with China makes such a partnership improbable. Claims of collusion remain in the realm of conjecture without substantiation.