美俄必有一站?
以前的Cycle 是打仗,这次会怎么样,不一定。
作者在过去几十年里成功预测过未来。
比如,1997 年的书里预测了2008 年经济危机。
这是the fourth turning is here 中define 的卫慧同龄的美国人:
A Nomad (游牧) generation( Gen X, born 1961 to 81) grows up as under protected children during an awakening, comes of age as the alienated young adults of a post awakening world, mellows into pragmatic midlife leaders during a crisis, and ages into tough post crisis elders.
卫慧 is on that track so far
过去的十年是fourth turning 的第一阶段: crisis. 旧秩序正被打破,新秩序在建立。接下来的waterfall 就是大干一场。
Geez, 读了之后还让不让人睡觉了